Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 1.617960 1.859286 2.124514 2.437691 2.797487 3.198043 3.678033
2025-06-15 1.332357 1.661323 2.053232 2.554786 3.180159 3.935003 4.916666
2025-06-22 1.094450 1.464051 1.936032 2.583519 3.450010 4.571621 6.137428
2025-06-29 0.899023 1.279584 1.796273 2.550004 3.623819 5.102567 7.301001
2025-07-06 0.726877 1.093472 1.619194 2.429419 3.650223 5.427244 8.222535
2025-07-13 0.651595 1.030906 1.602655 2.529095 3.998215 6.247759 9.973815
2025-07-20 0.594126 0.984411 1.600176 2.644882 4.381130 7.166278 12.003828
2025-07-27 0.540351 0.934302 1.582608 2.730270 4.722229 8.058096 14.112835
2025-08-03 0.486445 0.875092 1.540225 2.765184 4.978993 8.838076 16.135954
2025-08-10 0.423697 0.790902 1.442728 2.688340 5.026085 9.256826 17.570763
2025-08-17 0.362599 0.700725 1.321866 2.550731 4.940321 9.419946 18.546892
2025-08-24 0.325544 0.650280 1.266676 2.527254 5.063074 9.979738 20.349791
2025-08-31 0.288172 0.595528 1.198881 2.475563 5.134944 10.473097 22.140621
2025-09-07 0.275045 0.587726 1.222180 2.610499 5.603561 11.820412 25.894847
2025-09-14 0.253641 0.559661 1.200637 2.649198 5.877034 12.805536 29.031087
2025-09-21 0.228826 0.520698 1.150959 2.620127 5.999495 13.486131 31.599232
2025-09-28 0.199877 0.468419 1.065462 2.499100 5.898576 13.661275 33.038242
2025-10-05 0.190890 0.460559 1.077618 2.603397 6.331786 15.104336 37.689702
2025-10-12 0.183564 0.455548 1.095529 2.723658 6.820008 16.742778 43.069012
2025-10-19 0.174697 0.445522 1.100209 2.812230 7.243072 18.282587 48.437186
2025-10-26 0.163557 0.428231 1.084945 2.848560 7.539300 19.548929 53.291150
2025-11-02 0.147453 0.395932 1.028069 2.769580 7.524587 20.021316 56.096260
2025-11-09 0.130103 0.357925 0.951614 2.627887 7.321781 19.972519 57.458107